Strategic Collective Training Program (SCTP)

Contact for enrolment: stratcom@apsisummit.com

Objectives:

-To understand Strategic Foresight Analysis and comprehensive institutional approaches to contemporary security threats

-To unpack global issues and security trends and provide an understanding of the use of SFA in a current security environment. 

- To anticipate changing character of warfare, and to take smart risks

Duration: 9 months (part time)
1. Strategic Foresight Analysis and threat assessment

• Trend analysis method vs Emerging issues analysis method

• Mosaic of powers and the Jonah method

• Stages of development for trend and emerging issues 

•  Assess whether trend analysis and emerging issues analysis are valuable or not

• Threat assessment approach

• STEEPLED, STEEP, PEST, PESTLE, VERGE

• Types of SFA reports

  2. Morphing nature of the threats and importance of Strategic Foresight Analysis

• Forecasting and backcasting

• Prospective method

• Interpretive method

• Connecting future to strategy

• Assessing the future of military alliance

• Military alliance dynamic and strategic posturing

• Regional security framework 

• Asymmetric warfare

  3. NATO, EU, and other international organizations. How do we use Strategic Foresight Analysis?

• Calculating risks and rewards

• SFA and strategy development

•  Challenges in SFA

•  NATO’s 360-degree approach and adaptation process.

•  NATO Concept for the Deterrence and Defence of the Euro-Atlantic Area
  - Domain Sub-Strategic

• Capstone Concept for Joint Operations: Challenges

• Narrative Strategy, Scenario thinking

• Strategic Posturing

4. What do we learn and how do we identify threats?

• Flash foresight and its triggers

• A new look at scenarios

• Thinking about the future

•  Conflict forecasting and strategic scenario

• How to identify the others' endgames: Strategic Insight

• Strategic conversation

  5.  New tactics and direction of global war

• Strategies: grand, regional, national, transnational, and individual strategies

• Emerging signals

• whirlwind strategy

• Challenging status quo thinking

6. Table top exercise and Review

• Simulation of the crisis scenario and use of SFA in practice

• Doctrine and concept, and high readiness force: The need for SFA

• Top table exercise and simulation

• Review and Lessons Learned

• Course members' presentation on their SFA models